Bulgaria's Protests Too Weak to Oust Rulers

As I already forecast, on Friday the members of Bulgaria's parliament from the ruling Socialist and ethnic Turkish parties, together with the nationalists, united to overturn the veto on the budget revision.

There were some sort of debates, but the document was put to the vote and approved. The presidential veto was overruled.

Meanwhile the protests continued and will keep on going, the fact that the parliament managed to override the presidential veto on the budget revision will not stop them now, nor any other event in the future.

The ongoing protests however are not potent enough to put a spanner in the works of the current parliament, at least for the time being. Protesters would have accrued lots of negative points if the rally on Friday had turned violent. It is important not to forget that protesters enjoy wide public support thanks to the fact that they have been consistently well-behaved and tolerant. It was a very unlikely scenario for Friday’s protests to turn violent, though.

The political situation in Bulgaria will not change in September. Protests may begin to build up for an expected show-down next month, but the government will not give in to the pressure.

In my opinion, the best case scenario for Bulgaria at the moment is that the government keeps on working and the protesters keep on rallying. This is the best combination for the time being.

If the protesters keep on taking to the streets every day, the government will feel the pressure and is likely to do quite a lot of useful things for the country.

We are in dire straits and to get out of here, we must start from somewhere.

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